Lichtman is known as the “Nostradamus” of election predictions after accurately predicting nine of the 10 presidential ...

Trump swept to victory, winning 295 Electoral College votes so far, but Harris had been predicted to win by almost every ...

The founder of Aaru told Semafor that despite getting most predictions wrong, its model still “did well” and is faster and ...

Here is an explanation on if Trump can run again in 2028. Donald Trump will begin his second term once he takes office on ...

When I say the odds in this year’s presidential race are about as close as you can possibly get to 50/50, I’m not ...

The model projected Vice President Kamala Harris as the likely winner despite her falling behind in vote counts ...

Nate Silver’s model continued to show Kamala Harris with a slight lead in potentially being elected president, even as the ...

On November 5th, 2024, Nate Silver released his final update on the state of ... those times and Trump won 39,718 (with the ...

Up-to-the-minute coverage on the presidential and congressional races and how they stand to shape crypto legislation and ...

Refresh throughout the day for updates on the shifting presidential election odds. We’re tracking the state-by-state races ...

When Nate Silver says the election is "closer than a coin flip," he's basing it on hard numbers — heads empirically win 50.5 ...

Vice President Harris took a razor-thin lead against former President Trump in Nate Silver’s final forecast of the 2024 ...